What we are not
Four things we will not do
15 Minute Markets checks prediction markets. These are the limits we keep so the checks stay worth reading.
Not a venue
We list no markets, match no orders and hold no customer money. Kalshi, Polymarket and the exchanges that come next are where markets trade.
Because we take no side in any of them, we are free to grade any venue's markets, and to say so when a market on one venue does not pay the same as its twin on another.
Not a data reseller
No raw order books, trades or tape leave our systems. The venues and their licensed distributors sell raw data; we do not.
What you get from us is derived: checks, grades and counts, each with the method behind it and the date it was measured.
Not a tipster
What we publish is impersonal research, the same for every reader. It is not advice tailored to you or your account, and we do not tell anyone what to buy or sell.
Every strategy trial we run is registered before we look at the result, and every result is published, the failures with the rest.
Never a name
Integrity work describes markets, windows and patterns. We never name a person in public.
A flag is a lead for the people with the authority to look further. It is never an identification.
Questions about these limits go through the contact form.