15 Minute Markets

Settlement Mismatch Report · free, monthly

The same question, two venues, two different payouts

Every month we grade each pair of matched markets on Kalshi, Polymarket US and global Polymarket by whether they pay the same on every outcome, from the two rules and their past settlements. This is the count. The pair-by-pair data is in the settlement-fungible universe on the Data plan.

2,349matched pairs graded in October 2026/f/mm-202610-pairs-4c61442a29
37%graded C or D: a clause that can pay differently/f/mm-202610-cd-share-4f415d94d2
98%of matched contracts traded sat in pairs graded C or D/f/mm-202610-cd-volume-4cab527b78
46pairs that actually settled differently/f/mm-202610-disagreed-3c80970fb8

Pairs by grade

A1,480
Same source, window and outcomes; past settlements agree
B0
Same outcome, different source or window; agree above 99%
C792
A clause that can pay differently, or too few settlements
D77
Paid differently in a named case

The clauses that differed most

ClausePairsFamiliesWhat differs
Settlement source559Aachc nba worstrecord atl, Aachc nba worstrecord bkn, Aachc nba worstrecord bos, Aachc nba worstrecord cha, Aachc nba worstrecord chi, Aachc nba worstrecord cle, Aachc nba worstrecord dal, Aachc nba worstrecord den, Aachc nba worstrecord det, Aachc nba worstrecord gs, Aachc nba worstrecord hou, Aachc nba worstrecord ind, Aachc nba worstrecord lac, Aachc nba worstrecord lal, Aachc nba worstrecord mem, Aachc nba worstrecord mia, Aachc nba worstrecord mil, Aachc nba worstrecord min, Aachc nba worstrecord no, Aachc nba worstrecord ny, Aachc nba worstrecord okc, Aachc nba worstrecord orl, Aachc nba worstrecord phi, Aachc nba worstrecord pho, Aachc nba worstrecord por, Aachc nba worstrecord sa, Aachc nba worstrecord sac, Aachc nba worstrecord tor, Aachc nba worstrecord uta, Aachc nba worstrecord was, Kxboxing, Kxbundesliga, Kxbundesligatop, Kxchinalist, Kxcopadobrasil, Kxdartsmatch, Kxepllast, Kxeplteampoints, Kxfedreform, Kxligue1, Kxligue1top, Kxmarathon, Kxnytcharge, Kxpremierleague, Kxseriea, Kxserieatop, Kxtariffsector, Kxucl, Kxuclbottom, Kxucltop, Kxucltop8, Kxuecl, Kxuel, Kxufcmof, Kxufcmov, Kxufcvicround, Kxussaudinuclear, Pmmsc usmort hi yr gte ptThe settlement source differs: espn.com, foxsports.com against not stated.
Tie rule158Aachc nba astleader cadcun, Aachc nba astleader dargar, Aachc nba astleader jaljoh, Aachc nba astleader jamhar, Aachc nba astleader jammur, Aachc nba astleader jamor, Aachc nba astleader josgid, Aachc nba astleader lambal, Aachc nba astleader lebjam, Aachc nba astleader lukdon, Aachc nba astleader nikjok, Aachc nba astleader shaale, Aachc nba astleader stecas, Aachc nba astleader trayou, Aachc nba astleader tyrhal, Aachc nba blkleader antdav, Aachc nba blkleader chehol, Aachc nba blkleader dangaf, Aachc nba blkleader derliv, Aachc nba blkleader doncli, Aachc nba blkleader evamob, Aachc nba blkleader ivizub, Aachc nba blkleader jarjac, Aachc nba blkleader mitrob, Aachc nba blkleader myltur, Aachc nba blkleader rudgob, Aachc nba blkleader ryakal, Aachc nba blkleader vicwem, Aachc nba blkleader walkes, Aachc nba blkleader yvemis, Aachc nba blkleader zacede, Aachc nba pmleader antedw, Aachc nba pmleader bramil, Aachc nba pmleader damlil, Aachc nba pmleader dargar, Aachc nba pmleader derwhi, Aachc nba pmleader donmit, Aachc nba pmleader dunrob, Aachc nba pmleader graall, Aachc nba pmleader jalbru, Aachc nba pmleader jamhar, Aachc nba pmleader jammur, Aachc nba pmleader jaytat, Aachc nba pmleader klatho, Aachc nba pmleader konknu, Aachc nba pmleader kyrirv, Aachc nba pmleader lambal, Aachc nba pmleader laumar, Aachc nba pmleader lukdon, Aachc nba pmleader micpor, Aachc nba pmleader nicwal, Aachc nba pmleader norpow, Aachc nba pmleader paypri, Aachc nba pmleader reeshe, Aachc nba pmleader stecur, Aachc nba pmleader tremur, Aachc nba pmleader tyjer, Aachc nba pmleader tylher, Aachc nba pmleader tyrhal, Aachc nba pmleader tyrmax, Aachc nba ptsleader antedw, Aachc nba ptsleader ausrea, Aachc nba ptsleader cadcun, Aachc nba ptsleader coofla, Aachc nba ptsleader devboo, Aachc nba ptsleader donmit, Aachc nba ptsleader giaant, Aachc nba ptsleader jalbru, Aachc nba ptsleader jaybro, Aachc nba ptsleader jaytat, Aachc nba ptsleader joeemb, Aachc nba ptsleader kawleo, Aachc nba ptsleader kevdur, Aachc nba ptsleader lebjam, Aachc nba ptsleader lukdon, Aachc nba ptsleader nikjok, Aachc nba ptsleader shaale, Aachc nba ptsleader stecur, Aachc nba ptsleader tyrmax, Aachc nba ptsleader vicwem, Aachc nba rebleader alpsen, Aachc nba rebleader antdav, Aachc nba rebleader bamade, Aachc nba rebleader chehol, Aachc nba rebleader domsab, Aachc nba rebleader doncli, Aachc nba rebleader evamob, Aachc nba rebleader giaant, Aachc nba rebleader isahar, Aachc nba rebleader ivizub, Aachc nba rebleader jaldur, Aachc nba rebleader jaljoh, Aachc nba rebleader kartow, Aachc nba rebleader mitrob, Aachc nba rebleader nikjok, Aachc nba rebleader rudgob, Aachc nba rebleader vicwem, Aachc nba rebleader walkes, Aachc nba rebleader zacede, Aachc nba stlleader alecar, Aachc nba stlleader ametho, Aachc nba stlleader antbla, Aachc nba stlleader antedw, Aachc nba stlleader austho, Aachc nba stlleader caswal, Aachc nba stlleader dejmur, Aachc nba stlleader donmit, Aachc nba stlleader dysdan, Aachc nba stlleader herjon, Aachc nba stlleader jaljoh, Aachc nba stlleader jalsug, Aachc nba stlleader jalwil, Aachc nba stlleader jorgoo, Aachc nba stlleader joshar, Aachc nba stlleader kawleo, Aachc nba stlleader kridun, Aachc nba stlleader lukdon, Aachc nba stlleader matthy, Aachc nba stlleader mikbri, Aachc nba stlleader nikjok, Aachc nba stlleader oganu, Aachc nba stlleader reeshe, Aachc nba stlleader ryanrol, Aachc nba stlleader scopip, Aachc nba stlleader scotbar, Aachc nba stlleader shaale, Aachc nba stlleader tremur, Aachc nba stlleader tyrmax, Aachc nba worstrecord atl, Aachc nba worstrecord bkn, Aachc nba worstrecord bos, Aachc nba worstrecord cha, Aachc nba worstrecord chi, Aachc nba worstrecord cle, Aachc nba worstrecord dal, Aachc nba worstrecord den, Aachc nba worstrecord det, Aachc nba worstrecord gs, Aachc nba worstrecord hou, Aachc nba worstrecord ind, Aachc nba worstrecord lac, Aachc nba worstrecord lal, Aachc nba worstrecord mem, Aachc nba worstrecord mia, Aachc nba worstrecord mil, Aachc nba worstrecord min, Aachc nba worstrecord no, Aachc nba worstrecord ny, Aachc nba worstrecord okc, Aachc nba worstrecord orl, Aachc nba worstrecord phi, Aachc nba worstrecord pho, Aachc nba worstrecord por, Aachc nba worstrecord sa, Aachc nba worstrecord sac, Aachc nba worstrecord tor, Aachc nba worstrecord uta, Aachc nba worstrecord wasA tie pays differently: Yes on one side, No on the other.
Threshold77KxeplteampointsYes pays at a different strike: ['49.5', None] on one side, [None, None] on the other.
Date clause30Aachc nba worstrecord atl, Aachc nba worstrecord bkn, Aachc nba worstrecord bos, Aachc nba worstrecord cha, Aachc nba worstrecord chi, Aachc nba worstrecord cle, Aachc nba worstrecord dal, Aachc nba worstrecord den, Aachc nba worstrecord det, Aachc nba worstrecord gs, Aachc nba worstrecord hou, Aachc nba worstrecord ind, Aachc nba worstrecord lac, Aachc nba worstrecord lal, Aachc nba worstrecord mem, Aachc nba worstrecord mia, Aachc nba worstrecord mil, Aachc nba worstrecord min, Aachc nba worstrecord no, Aachc nba worstrecord ny, Aachc nba worstrecord okc, Aachc nba worstrecord orl, Aachc nba worstrecord phi, Aachc nba worstrecord pho, Aachc nba worstrecord por, Aachc nba worstrecord sa, Aachc nba worstrecord sac, Aachc nba worstrecord tor, Aachc nba worstrecord uta, Aachc nba worstrecord wasOne side pays if it happens any time by the date, the other only if it holds on the date, so an event before the date pays differently.

Pairs that settled differently

KXBTC15M-26OCT142015-15 and cpc-btc-updown-1h-2026-10-15-0000zPaid differently

Crypto · settled Oct 14, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXBTC15M-26OCT142015-15The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Nocpc-btc-updown-1h-2026-10-15-0000zThe clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT130200FLYWE-4 and tsc-setkamemd-butdum-sirvea-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT130200FLYWE-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkamemd-butdum-sirvea-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT130200FLYWE-5 and tsc-setkamemd-butdum-sirvea-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT130200FLYWE-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkamemd-butdum-sirvea-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT130500LGDBRO-5 and tsc-setkameua-kovyar-karole-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT130500LGDBRO-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkameua-kovyar-karole-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13KYORAT-4 and tsc-setkamecz-akoart-skyant-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13KYORAT-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamecz-akoart-skyant-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13KYORAT-5 and tsc-setkamecz-akoart-skyant-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13KYORAT-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamecz-akoart-skyant-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13POHJOH-4 and tsc-setkameua-sykole-hubmak-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13POHJOH-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkameua-sykole-hubmak-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13SHPDAJ-4 and tsc-setkameua-honser-khyvol-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXAFCCLTOTAL-26OCT13SHPDAJ-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkameua-honser-khyvol-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXTFF1LIGTOTAL-26OCT13BANSIV-4 and tsc-setkamecz-krejul-akoart-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXTFF1LIGTOTAL-26OCT13BANSIV-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamecz-krejul-akoart-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXTFF1LIGTOTAL-26OCT13BANSIV-5 and tsc-setkamecz-krejul-akoart-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXTFF1LIGTOTAL-26OCT13BANSIV-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamecz-krejul-akoart-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13UKRSVK-4 and tsc-setkameua-hryste-troand-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13UKRSVK-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkameua-hryste-troand-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13UKRSVK-5 and tsc-setkameua-hryste-troand-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13UKRSVK-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkameua-hryste-troand-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT131200KOIAGAL-4 and tsc-setkamemd-leviur-cotole-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT131200KOIAGAL-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamemd-leviur-cotole-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13ENGGRC-5 and tsc-setkamecz-hantom-horond-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13ENGGRC-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkamecz-hantom-horond-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13IRLKAZ-5 and tsc-setkamemd-ghifio-cotole-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13IRLKAZ-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamemd-ghifio-cotole-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13NLDHUN-4 and tsc-setkamecz-mezond-rejste-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXFIFAWTOTAL-26OCT13NLDHUN-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamecz-mezond-rejste-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUCLTOTAL-26OCT13ARSLIL-4 and tsc-setkameua-chuhser-lusand-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXUCLTOTAL-26OCT13ARSLIL-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkameua-chuhser-lusand-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUCLTOTAL-26OCT13GALBAR-5 and tsc-setkameua-selole-mars-2026-10-13-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXUCLTOTAL-26OCT13GALBAR-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkameua-selole-mars-2026-10-13-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDIMAYORTOTAL-26OCT13BUCADR-4 and tsc-setkamecz-bridav-kolleo-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDIMAYORTOTAL-26OCT13BUCADR-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamecz-bridav-kolleo-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXCONMEBOLSUDTOTAL-26OCT13BOCVDG-4 and tsc-setkamemd-yavole-ursser-2026-10-13-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXCONMEBOLSUDTOTAL-26OCT13BOCVDG-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-setkamemd-yavole-ursser-2026-10-13-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT140500FOXKT-4 and tsc-setkameua-kuzdmy-chuhser-2026-10-14-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT140500FOXKT-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkameua-kuzdmy-chuhser-2026-10-14-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT150500BROWE-5 and tsc-setkameua-honser-zavmyk-2026-10-15-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 17, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT150500BROWE-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkameua-honser-zavmyk-2026-10-15-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT151900KCC9-4 and tsc-setkameua-deimak-strole-2026-10-15-st-3pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 17, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT151900KCC9-4The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkameua-deimak-strole-2026-10-15-st-3pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT151900KCC9-5 and tsc-setkameua-deimak-strole-2026-10-15-st-4pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 17, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXLOLTOTALMAPS-26OCT151900KCC9-5The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Notsc-setkameua-deimak-strole-2026-10-15-st-4pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130850JMCESMIT-JMCE and aec-modus-tommor-scomit-2026-10-13Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130850JMCESMIT-JMCEThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-tommor-scomit-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130810ACOLSOCK-SOCK and aec-modus-tommor-ashcol-2026-10-13Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130810ACOLSOCK-SOCKThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-tommor-ashcol-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130735SMITACOL-ACOL and aec-modus-jactwe-scomit-2026-10-13One side void

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130735SMITACOL-ACOLThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · voidedaec-modus-jactwe-scomit-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130720SOCKJTWE-SOCK and aec-modus-sanzwa-aartur-2026-10-13One side void

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · voidedKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130720SOCKJTWE-SOCKThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Noaec-modus-sanzwa-aartur-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130700ACOLJMCE-JMCE and aec-modus-ashcol-sanzwa-2026-10-13Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130700ACOLJMCE-JMCEThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-ashcol-sanzwa-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130645SOCKTMOR-SOCK and aec-modus-jactwe-tommor-2026-10-13One side void

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT130645SOCKTMOR-SOCKThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · voidedaec-modus-jactwe-tommor-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUFCMOF-26OCT13DACAB-DRAW and aec-dwcs-doulap-davcab-2026-10-13Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXUFCMOF-26OCT13DACAB-DRAWThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-dwcs-doulap-davcab-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUFCMOF-26OCT13SUNPER-DRAW and aec-dwcs-smisun-aliper-2026-10-13Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXUFCMOF-26OCT13SUNPER-DRAWThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-dwcs-smisun-aliper-2026-10-13The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUFCMOV-26OCT13DACAB-CABKOTKODQ and astatc-dwcs-doulap-davcab-2026-10-13-mov-f1-koPaid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXUFCMOV-26OCT13DACAB-CABKOTKODQThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesastatc-dwcs-doulap-davcab-2026-10-13-mov-f1-koThe clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUFCMOV-26OCT13DACAB-DAKOTKODQ and astatc-dwcs-doulap-davcab-2026-10-13-mov-f2-koPaid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXUFCMOV-26OCT13DACAB-DAKOTKODQThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Noastatc-dwcs-doulap-davcab-2026-10-13-mov-f2-koThe clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUFCMOV-26OCT13RENFRA-FRAKOTKODQ and astatc-dwcs-wilren-luifra-2026-10-13-mov-f1-koPaid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXUFCMOV-26OCT13RENFRA-FRAKOTKODQThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Noastatc-dwcs-wilren-luifra-2026-10-13-mov-f1-koThe clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXUFCMOV-26OCT13RENFRA-RENKOTKODQ and astatc-dwcs-wilren-luifra-2026-10-13-mov-f2-koPaid differently

Sports · settled Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXUFCMOV-26OCT13RENFRA-RENKOTKODQThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesastatc-dwcs-wilren-luifra-2026-10-13-mov-f2-koThe clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140440TMORATUR-ATUR and aec-modus-tommor-aartur-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140440TMORATUR-ATURThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Noaec-modus-tommor-aartur-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140810SOCKJMCE-JMCE and aec-modus-scomit-sanzwa-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140810SOCKJMCE-JMCEThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-scomit-sanzwa-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140810SOCKJMCE-SOCK and aec-modus-sanzwa-ashcol-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140810SOCKJMCE-SOCKThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Noaec-modus-sanzwa-ashcol-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140645SMITACOL-ACOL and aec-modus-scomit-ashcol-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled YesKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140645SMITACOL-ACOLThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Noaec-modus-scomit-ashcol-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140735SOCKATUR-ATUR and aec-modus-tommor-sanzwa-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140735SOCKATUR-ATURThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-tommor-sanzwa-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140700TMORSOCK-SOCK and aec-modus-sanzwa-jimmce-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140700TMORSOCK-SOCKThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-sanzwa-jimmce-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140830TMORSMIT-SMIT and aec-modus-tommor-scomit-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140830TMORSMIT-SMITThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-tommor-scomit-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140850ATURACOL-ACOL and aec-modus-aartur-ashcol-2026-10-14Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXDARTSMATCH-26OCT140850ATURACOL-ACOLThe clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yesaec-modus-aartur-ashcol-2026-10-14The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXWTAGTOTAL-26OCT15KRUSWI-18 and tsc-wta-leyfer-jelost-2026-10-15-tg-17pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 29, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXWTAGTOTAL-26OCT15KRUSWI-18The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-wta-leyfer-jelost-2026-10-15-tg-17pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs
KXWTAGTOTAL-26OCT15KRUSWI-23 and tsc-wta-leyfer-jelost-2026-10-15-tg-22pt5Paid differently

Sports · settled Oct 29, 2026

Kalshi · settled NoKXWTAGTOTAL-26OCT15KRUSWI-23The clause is not quoted in the feed.
Polymarket US · settled Yestsc-wta-leyfer-jelost-2026-10-15-tg-22pt5The clause is not quoted in the feed.

Grade before: not recorded. Grade now: not recorded.

The family's graded pairs

Counts and clauses only; no finding about any person.

Method

Grades come from a tested comparator over the two rule texts and past settlements, never from a language model. Matched volume is in contracts: the Kalshi side's listed contracts traded, from the daily catalog. A pair with no Kalshi side counts as no volume; 161 of this month's pairs had none. Every figure above has a permanent link that keeps its value when next month's report is out.

As of Oct 31, 2026.

Methods and error ratesSettlement-fungible universe (Data plan)

All months